IT’S ONLY JULY, so it appears foolish to say that that is the final alternative for a productive month in Washington earlier than the election, however guess what: That is the final alternative for a productive month in Washington earlier than the election.
WASHINGTON is about to start a four-week dash that can embrace the Home Democratic management and the Senate GOP management wrestling over one other coronavirus reduction package deal. Republicans have laid their marker — Senate Majority Chief MITCH MCCONNELL has mentioned the following package deal wants to guard children, shield jobs and reform legal responsibility legal guidelines so entities can’t get sued. DEMOCRATS have pushed for state and native authorities reduction, extra unemployment insurance coverage and direct funds and bolstering testing.
TIME IS SHORT, after all, and it will go right down to the wire. Each side agree that a package deal will get handed by the top of the month. With MCCONNELL saying that legal responsibility reform is his crimson line, the query turns into: What does he have to surrender to Speaker NANCY PELOSI and Senate Minority Chief CHUCK SCHUMER to get it?
PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP and the White Home are nonetheless making noises a few payroll tax lower — their solely thought, it appears. Hold your eyes on chief of employees MARK MEADOWS. We anticipate he — not Treasury Secretary STEVEN MNUCHIN — would be the chief negotiator this time round.
120 DAYS till Election Day.
THE TRUMP SWAMP … NYT, A1 … KEN VOGEL MICHAEL LAFORGIA and HAILEY FUCHS: “The Swamp Is Coming From Inside Trump’s Marketing campaign”: “The chief govt of the arms maker Raytheon, underneath stress to beat a congressional maintain on main gross sales within the fall of 2018, wished to take a seat down with one of many few individuals who may clear up the issue — Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.
“However the State Division wouldn’t schedule the assembly. So Raytheon turned for assist to David City, maybe the best-connected lobbyist in President Trump’s Washington. … It’s not recognized exactly what Mr. Pompeo mentioned with the Raytheon govt, however in a couple of months, the State Division had issued an emergency waiver that circumvented the congressional maintain on the arms offers, permitting billions of dollars in Raytheon missiles and bombs to be offered to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. …
“Contemplate the examples of eight lobbyists and operatives with ties to lobbying corporations, together with Mr. City, who at the moment are helping Mr. Trump’s marketing campaign in numerous paid and unpaid capacities, like fund-raising and technique. These eight have been paid a complete of practically $120 million by their corporations to affect the US authorities from the start of 2017, as Mr. Trump ready to take workplace, to the top of March, in line with an evaluation of congressional and Justice Division filings.
“The dimensions of these revenues is particularly placing provided that a number of of the lobbyists — together with two of the highest three earners, Brian Ballard, a veteran lobbyist from Florida, and Jeff Miller, an operative from Texas — had not lobbied on the federal degree earlier than Mr. Trump’s election.”
BIG PICTURE … WAPO’S DAN BALZ: “The politics of race are shifting, and politicians are struggling to maintain tempo”: “[W]hen 2 in Three Individuals now say they help the Black Lives Matter motion; when hundreds upon hundreds of Individuals march within the streets of massive cities and small cities; when the Nationwide Soccer League reverses its place on gamers’ kneeling in the course of the nationwide anthem; when Mississippi eliminates the Accomplice image from its flag; there appears little query that for now, this can be a materially totally different second.
“What is going to come of the gathering name for motion? The civil rights motion produced landmark laws, however black individuals proceed to face discrimination in nearly all points of life. Financial good points for a lot of black Individuals are simple, but enormous disparities in jobs, housing, earnings and wealth nonetheless exist. …
“Underneath President Trump, who has used racist messaging frequently as president and earlier than, Republicans are ill-positioned to reply absolutely to the second that has arisen this summer season. The occasion is captive to his rhetoric and actions, which exacerbate reasonably than cut back tensions. Part of the GOP coalition has moved in a extra progressive path on problems with race, however general the occasion is on the fallacious aspect of public opinion and stymied as to how far it may possibly go.”
FRONTS: NYT, with the headline “D.C.’s Swamp Has New Intention: One other Time period” on the aforementioned Vogel, LaForgia and Fuchs story … WSJ … N.Y. POST
Good Monday morning.
CORONAVIRUS RAGING …
— WAPO: “7-day common case complete in U.S. units document for 27th straight day,” by Derek Hawkins, Marisa Iati and Jacqueline Dupree: “13 states reported new highs of their seven-day case averages, with Montana, Delaware and Alaska experiencing the most important proportion change from their previous information. West Virginia additionally set a document variety of each day circumstances, with 130. …
“South Carolina, Texas, Arizona, Nevada and California reported document numbers of present covid-19 hospitalizations. The nation’s seven-day common of latest deaths fell to 485, down from 562 on June 28, however well being specialists cautioned that the depend of infections would quickly drive the quantity again up.”
— LAT’S LAURA NEWBERRY: “Los Angeles County public well being officers on Sunday reported 7,232 extra circumstances of COVID-19 and 30 associated deaths, numbers that account for Thursday, Friday and Saturday of final week. On Friday alone, 3,187 new circumstances of COVID-19 had been reported — the best each day complete for the reason that pandemic started, officers mentioned.”
— TEXAS TRIBUNE: “A number of Texas cities fear hospitals might run out of beds in two weeks or sooner,” by Valeria Olivares: “Native officers and specialists in Austin, San Antonio, Houston and Fort Value have expressed considerations in latest days that growing coronavirus hospitalizations may overwhelm their intensive care capacities, with some saying it may occur in lower than two weeks.”
— NYT: “The Fullest Look But on the Racial Inequity of Coronavirus,” by Richard Oppel Jr., Robert Gebeloff, Ok.Ok. Rebecca Lai, Will Wright and Mitch Smith: “Early numbers had proven that Black and Latino individuals had been being harmed by the virus at increased charges. However the brand new federal information — made obtainable after The New York Instances sued the Facilities for Illness Management and Prevention — reveals a clearer and extra full image: Black and Latino individuals have been disproportionately affected by the coronavirus in a widespread method that spans the nation, all through a whole bunch of counties in city, suburban and rural areas, and throughout all age teams.
“Latino and African-American residents of the US have been 3 times as prone to turn out to be contaminated as their white neighbors, in line with the brand new information, which offers detailed traits of 640,000 infections detected in practically 1,000 U.S. counties. And Black and Latino individuals have been practically twice as prone to die from the virus as white individuals, the info reveals.”
— “Western fireplace season may increase stakes in battle in opposition to Covid-19,” by Ximena Bustillo
AP’S JONATHAN LEMIRE and CALVIN WOODWARD: “Trump’s bluster doesn’t beat a virus, calm a restive nation”
NYT’S MICHAEL CROWLEY: “‘Strategic Empathy’: How Biden’s Casual Diplomacy Formed International Relations”: “Mr. Biden is a foreign-policy pragmatist, not an ideologue; his views have lengthy tracked the Democratic mainstream. For a decade earlier than the Iraq Warfare, he was referred to as a hawk, however extra lately he has turn out to be a chastened skeptic of international intervention. In lieu of grand technique, he gives what greater than 20 present and former American officers described in interviews as a remarkably private diplomacy derived from his many years within the glad-handing, deal-making hothouse of the Senate.
“It’s an strategy grounded in a perception that understanding one other chief — ‘what they need and what they want,’ within the phrases of James Rubin, a former Biden aide who later served because the State Division spokesman — is as necessary as understanding his or her nation. ‘It’s very Lyndon Johnson-esque,’ mentioned Husain Haqqani, a former Pakistani ambassador to Washington who attended many conferences with Mr. Biden.
“But Mr. Xi has clearly examined the bounds of that strategy. Mr. Biden’s document is brief on public warnings that the Chinese language chief may turn out to be the ‘thug’ that the presumptive Democratic nominee calls him as we speak. And as American relations with China slide from dangerous to worse, Mr. Biden is going through uncomfortable questions on why he didn’t do extra to stiffen Obama administration coverage towards Beijing — about why his strategic empathy didn’t include extra strategic imaginative and prescient.” NYT
VEEPSTAKES — “Duckworth rising as a contender to be Biden’s operating mate,” by WaPo’s Sean Sullivan: “As Joe Biden pushes forward together with his seek for a operating mate, Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ailing.) has quietly emerged as a severe contender, in line with three individuals with information of the choice course of, one in all a number of growing dynamics because the search enters its last weeks.
“Duckworth is a Purple Coronary heart recipient and veteran of the Iraq Warfare, the one finalist with navy fight expertise — and as a girl of Thai and Chinese language descent, one in all a number of candidates of colour into account. Whereas she has a decrease profile than some rivals, she is being taken critically by Biden’s group, in line with the individuals with information of the search, one in all whom mentioned she has currently acquired sturdy consideration.” WaPo
STAFFING UP … MATT DIXON in Tallahassee, Fla.: “Biden unveils Florida management group”: “Biden named Jackie Lee, veteran Orlando-based guide who has been working for the marketing campaign since October 2019, as his state director. Lee, who helped the marketing campaign regain its steadiness after [a] enormous major loss in Iowa, is credited with warding off a $30 million Florida advert blitz from billionaire Mike Bloomberg’s short-lived presidential marketing campaign. …
“Brandon Thompson will work because the Biden campaigns coordinated director. He’s coming from Organizing Collectively 2020, a key participant within the Democrat’s 2020 Florida floor sport effort. … Florida Democratic Social gathering govt director Juan Peñalosa was named a Biden senior adviser, although the presidential race has already been an all-hands-on-deck focus for the occasion he leads. Karen Andre, an lawyer who comes from Organizing Collectively 2020, was additionally named a senior adviser. Her resume contains working for 2018 Florida Democratic gubernatorial nominee Andrew Gillum’s profitable major marketing campaign.” POLITICO
TRUMP’S MONDAY — The president will meet with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo at 11:30 a.m. within the Oval Workplace.
DOWN BALLOT — “A Trump-Backed Senate Candidate’s Hedge Fund Catastrophe,” by NYT’s Danny Hakim: “President Trump’s favored Senate candidate in Alabama, Tommy Tuberville, is thought for his profession as a school soccer coach. However he additionally had a quick stint as co-owner of a hedge fund. It didn’t go effectively.
“A bit of greater than a decade in the past, after departing from Auburn College the place he was head coach, Mr. Tuberville entered right into a 50-50 partnership with a former Lehman Brothers dealer named John David Stroud. Their ventures, which included TS Capital Administration and TS Capital Companions — T for Tuberville and S for Stroud — turned out to be a monetary fraud. Mr. Stroud was sentenced to 10 years in jail, and Mr. Tuberville was sued by traders, who accused him of fraud and violating his fiduciary responsibility to care for their investments; he reached a non-public settlement in 2013.
“The episode has been seldom mentioned in Mr. Tuberville’s Republican major marketing campaign for the Senate, through which his opponent within the July 14 runoff is Jeff Classes, the previous senator and lawyer normal who turned an object of Mr. Trump’s ire after recusing himself from the Russia inquiry. The winner will face Doug Jones, thought of maybe probably the most susceptible Democrat within the battle for management of the Senate.
“Requested in regards to the hedge fund enterprise on the marketing campaign path in February, Mr. Tuberville described himself as ‘an investor like the remainder of them,’ a lot as he had in media experiences on the time of the accusations.” NYT
FOR YOUR RADAR — “U.S. Exhibits Off Its Firepower to Beijing in South China Sea,” by WSJ’s Alastair Gale: “Strike fighters and electronic-warfare jets took off day and evening from two U.S. plane carriers within the South China Sea to simulate sustained assaults on enemy bases as Washington placed on one in all its greatest shows of naval energy in a possible flashpoint for battle.
“All through the weekend, the united statesRonald Reagan and USS Nimitz accomplished a whole bunch of launches of jets, surveillance planes and helicopters in a number of the largest navy drills lately within the disputed South China Sea, the vanguard of Beijing’s transfer to increase its regional sphere of management.
“China held its personal large-scale drills across the Paracel Islands within the South China Sea by Sunday, the place it has constructed missile bases, radar services and an airfield. Vietnam and Taiwan additionally declare the Paracels.”
THE FRIENDLY SKIES — “Subsequent Boeing 737 MAX Authorities Check Flight Scheduled for Coming Days,” by WSJ’s Andy Pasztor: “The subsequent problem for bringing Boeing Co.’s 737 MAX jets again into service is slated to play out as early as this week, with one other authorities check flight assessing the protection of software program fixes.
“Referred to as an operational readiness evaluation, it’s amongst a collection of check flights anticipated over the following a number of weeks that includes federal pilots together with airline crews from around the globe, all meant to vet adjustments to the fleet’s flight-control system, in line with individuals conversant in the main points.
“Among the many objectives of the approaching airborne checks and ground-simulator periods is to find out how effectively common airline pilots globally will be capable to deal with emergencies utilizing the revised software program. The approaching check is a beforehand scheduled follow-up to a few days of formal certification flight exams carried out by Boeing and Federal Aviation Administration pilots final week.” WSJ
Ship tricks to Eli Okun and Garrett Ross at [email protected].
BIRTHDAY OF THE DAY: Danny Sepulveda, SVP for coverage and advocacy at MediaMath and an Obama State Division alum. What he’s been studying: “I learn ‘By no means Cut up the Distinction,’ which is a e-book on negotiation by a former FBI hostage negotiator. … I feel our occasion must be ready to barter a reconciliation of the nation’s leaders with the intention to reconcile the nation after this election is over. However now we have to do it with out compromising the chance to make historic change, so we will’t simply break up the distinction to get there.” Playbook Q&A
BIRTHDAYS: Former President George W. Bush is 74 … POLITICO’s Anita Kumar … John Dickerson, correspondent for CBS’ “60 Minutes” and contributing author at The Atlantic, is 52 … WaPo’s Glenn Kessler … Apple’s Nick Ammann … Ron Fournier, president of Truscott Rossman, is 57 (h/t Teresa Vilmain) … Sarah Morgan, VP at Focused Victory … Josh Elliott is 49 … Christyn Lansing, senior director at Narrative Methods … CNN nationwide correspondent Athena Jones … Jennifer Duffy … Richard Benedetto … Jill Zuckman … Kimberly Dozier … Laura Peavey, comms director for the Home Monetary Companies GOP (h/t David O’Brien) … Chris Paulitz … Susan Ford Bales is 63 …
… Tyler Pager, nationwide political reporter at Bloomberg Information … Mark Tomb … Cloe Axelson … Caleb Orr, initiatives director for Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.), is 26 … Virginia state Sen. Jill Vogel … Zachary Karabell is 53 … Cynthia Keyser (h/t Jon Haber) … ACLU’s Gabriela Meléndez Olivera … Cora Swanson … Netflix’s Storm Horncastle … Kara Gainer … William L. Roper (h/t Fred Graefe) … Judah Ginsberg … Stephen Carter, senior comms supervisor at Microsoft … Kaylan Schreffler … Patrick Hanley … Thomas Mucha … Randall Ok. Benjamin II … Bryan Goettel … Sean Maroney … Hilary Bombard Resta … Ken Opin … the 14th Dalai Lama, Tenzin Gyatso, is 85